Monthly average and variation between polls
Raw results are excluded from averages.
| Month | Average | Observed range | Polls / pollsters | Change from previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 4.35% | 3.1–6.5% | 4 / 4 | +0.3 pp (11 → 4 polls) |
| 2026-10 | 4.05% | 1.9–7.7% | 11 / 11 | +0.03 pp (5 → 11 polls) |
| 2026-09 | 4.02% | 2.5–5.81% | 5 / 5 | +0.41 pp (12 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-08 | 3.61% | 2.7–5.5% | 12 / 12 | -0.19 pp (5 → 12 polls) |
| 2026-07 | 3.8% | 2.6–5.5% | 5 / 5 | +0.36 pp (5 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-06 | 3.44% | 2.1–6.1% | 5 / 5 | -0.05 pp (7 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-05 | 3.49% | 2.8–6.5% | 7 / 7 | +0.1 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-04 | 3.39% | 2.9–5% | 7 / 7 | -0.09 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-03 | 3.47% | 2.2–5.5% | 7 / 7 | -0.76 pp (6 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-02 | 4.23% | 3.4–5.5% | 6 / 6 | +0.52 pp (7 → 6 polls) |
| 2026-01 | 3.71% | 2.5–6% | 7 / 7 | No comparison |