Monthly average and variation between polls
Raw results are excluded from averages.
| Month | Average | Observed range | Polls / pollsters | Change from previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 3.4% | 3–3.9% | 4 / 4 | +0.4 pp (10 → 4 polls) |
| 2026-10 | 3% | 1.5–3.6% | 10 / 10 | +0.01 pp (5 → 10 polls) |
| 2026-09 | 2.99% | 2.7–3.2% | 5 / 5 | +0.1 pp (12 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-08 | 2.88% | 1.6–3.9% | 12 / 12 | -0.26 pp (5 → 12 polls) |
| 2026-07 | 3.14% | 2.2–3.9% | 5 / 5 | +0.18 pp (5 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-06 | 2.96% | 2–3.7% | 5 / 5 | +0.59 pp (7 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-05 | 2.37% | 0.6–4.2% | 7 / 7 | -0.39 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-04 | 2.76% | 1.4–4.2% | 7 / 7 | -0.9 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-03 | 3.66% | 1–5.3% | 7 / 7 | +0.12 pp (6 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-02 | 3.53% | 1.6–5.4% | 6 / 6 | -0.05 pp (7 → 6 polls) |
| 2026-01 | 3.59% | 1.7–5.8% | 7 / 7 | No comparison |