Monthly average and variation between polls
Raw results are excluded from averages.
| Month | Average | Observed range | Polls / pollsters | Change from previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 28.6% | 26.8–30.5% | 4 / 4 | -2.88 pp (11 → 4 polls) |
| 2026-10 | 31.48% | 28.5–34.9% | 11 / 11 | -1.37 pp (5 → 11 polls) |
| 2026-09 | 32.85% | 28.24–36.1% | 5 / 5 | -0.89 pp (12 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-08 | 33.73% | 28.4–35.7% | 12 / 12 | -0.21 pp (5 → 12 polls) |
| 2026-07 | 33.94% | 27.4–35.8% | 5 / 5 | +0.4 pp (5 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-06 | 33.54% | 31.2–36.2% | 5 / 5 | +0.37 pp (7 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-05 | 33.17% | 28.1–35.3% | 7 / 7 | -0.11 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-04 | 33.29% | 28.6–35.3% | 7 / 7 | +0.41 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-03 | 32.87% | 29.2–34.6% | 7 / 7 | +0.57 pp (6 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-02 | 32.3% | 29.9–34.1% | 6 / 6 | +0.3 pp (8 → 6 polls) |
| 2026-01 | 32% | 28.6–35.2% | 8 / 8 | No comparison |