Monthly average and variation between polls
Raw results are excluded from averages.
| Month | Average | Observed range | Polls / pollsters | Change from previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 9.05% | 5.9–10.9% | 4 / 4 | +1.33 pp (11 → 4 polls) |
| 2026-10 | 7.72% | 5.8–11.3% | 11 / 11 | +0.44 pp (5 → 11 polls) |
| 2026-09 | 7.27% | 5.9–8.5% | 5 / 5 | +0.26 pp (12 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-08 | 7.02% | 4.6–9.3% | 12 / 12 | +2.16 pp (5 → 12 polls) |
| 2026-07 | 4.86% | 4.5–5.6% | 5 / 5 | -2.02 pp (5 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-06 | 6.88% | 5.8–7.9% | 5 / 5 | +0.62 pp (7 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-05 | 6.26% | 4–8.8% | 7 / 7 | +0.34 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-04 | 5.91% | 4.4–8% | 7 / 7 | -0.13 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-03 | 6.04% | 4.8–8.9% | 7 / 7 | +0.74 pp (6 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-02 | 5.3% | 4.4–6.3% | 6 / 6 | -0.55 pp (8 → 6 polls) |
| 2026-01 | 5.85% | 3.9–7.6% | 8 / 8 | No comparison |