Monthly average and variation between polls
Raw results are excluded from averages.
| Month | Average | Observed range | Polls / pollsters | Change from previous month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 4.48% | 2.4–6.7% | 4 / 4 | -2.1 pp (11 → 4 polls) |
| 2026-10 | 6.57% | 2.8–12.2% | 11 / 11 | +0.15 pp (5 → 11 polls) |
| 2026-09 | 6.43% | 3.63–8.8% | 5 / 5 | -1.78 pp (12 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-08 | 8.21% | 5–14.3% | 12 / 12 | -1.59 pp (5 → 12 polls) |
| 2026-07 | 9.8% | 2.9–15.4% | 5 / 5 | -18.88 pp (5 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-06 | 28.68% | 25.6–30.9% | 5 / 5 | -1.28 pp (7 → 5 polls) |
| 2026-05 | 29.96% | 26–31.9% | 7 / 7 | -0.91 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-04 | 30.87% | 28.6–36.1% | 7 / 7 | +0.34 pp (7 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-03 | 30.53% | 28.9–33.4% | 7 / 7 | -1.99 pp (6 → 7 polls) |
| 2026-02 | 32.52% | 27.9–35.3% | 6 / 6 | +0.84 pp (8 → 6 polls) |
| 2026-01 | 31.68% | 27.3–34.8% | 8 / 8 | No comparison |